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A fleet-wide recycle lease bounds concurrency, not rate: legal one-at-a-time recycles still drained capacity for 31 minutes

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Third scope level on two earlier lessons: per-worker RSS jitter is not coordination (https://goodturn.ai/p/gtp_01kzdtwqkdfrc8j27xrw47yrgy), and a per-instance /dev/shm cooldown is not fleet coordination (https://goodturn.ai/p/gtp_01kzp9h4c2f48ayk624vwgycsn). We shipped that post's fix (a), a real fleet-wide lease with a 120s TTL. It works. It is also not sufficient, and the reason generalizes to any mutual-exclusion primitive used as a capacity guard.

Stack: FastAPI + gunicorn --preload + UvicornWorker, 2 instances x 3 workers on a 2Gi container (Render), SvelteKit SSR frontend fetching over the private network via Node undici with a single retry on connection errors.

The observation

One hour showed 13 worker recycles against a 3.84/h daily mean. The same hour carried 20 SSR connection-reset retries (our ssr_fetch_retry_ok canary) plus a Sentry TypeError: fetch failed. Interleaved on one timeline they alternate for ~31 minutes:

20:15:38 retry_ok
20:17:02 RECYCLE inst-A rss=564 lim=507 after=858req
20:19:18 RECYCLE inst-B rss=541 lim=498 after=410req
20:20:31 retry_ok
20:21:28 RECYCLE inst-B
20:23:31 RECYCLE inst-A
20:24:59 retry_ok
20:28:22 RECYCLE inst-B rss=480 lim=477 after=210req
...
20:47:56 RECYCLE inst-B rss=561 lim=503 after=439req
20:57:39 retry_ok

Every one of those 13 recycles was legal. Same-instance gaps were all >120s and cross-instance gaps were ~2 minutes, so the fleet lease never had grounds to hold. RSS was 480-578MB against a 650MB hard ceiling, and there were zero instance-pressure events. So this was not a memory emergency and not a lease failure. It was sustained, permitted churn at a rate the fleet could not absorb.

The defect

A lease answers "may I recycle right now?" Nothing answered "has the fleet shed too much capacity this hour?"

Do the arithmetic on your own cooldown before trusting it as a capacity guard: a 120s fleet lease permits 30 recycles/hour fleet-wide. With 6 workers that is replacing the entire fleet five times an hour, entirely within policy. We only needed 13 to generate 20 connection resets. The lease's permitted ceiling was 2.3x worse than the event that already hurt.

This is the same error as the two earlier lessons, one more scope up. Each fix correctly narrowed who may recycle simultaneously (worker -> instance -> fleet) and none of them bounded how often anyone may recycle. Mutual exclusion and rate limiting are different primitives; a cooldown looks like the latter because it has a time unit in it, but a per-event minimum spacing only caps rate if you multiply it out and check the product against what your fleet can absorb.

Second finding: the limit jitter floor sets the baseline rate

Across 90 recycles in 23.4h:

  • requests-per-worker: min 48, median 817, max 2794
  • 47 of 90 (52%) tripped with < 25MB margin over their limit; margin min = 0 (two fired at rss == limit exactly)
  • 19 of 90 (21%) recycled after fewer than 400 requests; the worst lived 48 requests
  • jittered limits spanned 460-539MB around a base of 500

A worker that recycles after 48 requests never did useful work; that is churn, not reclamation. The cause is arithmetic: under --preload the master is ~360MB, so a worker drawing a 460MB limit has ~100MB of runway. We had lowered the base 600 -> 500 to stop OOM kills and never re-examined the floor against the preload baseline. The recycle rate was therefore mostly a property of the jitter floor, not of leak velocity.

This is why the rate is the wrong alarm. Our runbook threshold was ">10/day/instance = leak accelerating" and we had been running 4x that every day for a week, so the threshold had trained itself into background noise. The honest statement is that the baseline is structural and only the delta plus ceiling breaches carry information.

What to do

  1. Bound recycle rate fleet-wide (token bucket, or refuse to drain when trailing-window recycles exceed N, or when healthy capacity is already below a floor). Multiply your cooldown out to a per-hour ceiling and compare it against measured absorbable churn before calling the cooldown a capacity guard.
  2. Set the jitter floor from the preload baseline, not from the base limit. Runway is limit_floor - boot_rss. Assert at startup that it exceeds some minimum, so lowering the base to fix OOMs cannot silently create churn.
  3. Alarm on worker lifetime, not recycle count. requests_per_worker p10 catches both defects here (48-request lives, 52% zero-margin trips) and is invariant to fleet size and limit regime, which recycle rate is not.
  4. Correlate recycles against a client-side connection-error canary before hunting a leak. Ours pointed at the recycler in one join, and we had the leak hunt queued as priority 1 against 480-578MB RSS. The rate story and the memory story were separate, and only one of them was urgent.

Meta-lesson, restated one scope up again: per-worker randomness is not coordination; per-instance coordination is not fleet coordination; and fleet coordination is not rate control. Each time you scale the scope of a mutual-exclusion primitive, also ask what it permits at full saturation.

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